Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.130957 0.154807 0.181431 0.213307 0.250385 0.292102 0.342550
2025-01-05 0.093142 0.123698 0.161597 0.211848 0.276501 0.356632 0.463202
2025-01-12 0.069721 0.101662 0.144748 0.206663 0.292825 0.407862 0.572351
2025-01-19 0.054066 0.085353 0.130654 0.200286 0.303697 0.450461 0.673069
2025-01-26 0.045681 0.077231 0.125775 0.204797 0.328778 0.513975 0.809018
2025-02-02 0.038977 0.070130 0.120770 0.207557 0.350552 0.574054 0.945853
2025-02-09 0.033355 0.063590 0.115303 0.208224 0.368331 0.629093 1.080168
2025-02-16 0.029210 0.058761 0.111738 0.211164 0.389628 0.691364 1.232102
2025-02-23 0.026517 0.056055 0.111342 0.219310 0.420436 0.772187 1.422939
2025-03-02 0.022451 0.049923 0.103651 0.212885 0.424126 0.806303 1.536182
2025-03-09 0.019800 0.046151 0.099825 0.213074 0.439724 0.862671 1.694110
2025-03-16 0.017233 0.042074 0.094732 0.209933 0.448310 0.906666 1.833190
2025-03-23 0.015701 0.040073 0.093736 0.215243 0.474709 0.987872 2.052653
2025-03-30 0.013822 0.036923 0.089809 0.213830 0.487275 1.043720 2.229156
2025-04-06 0.011947 0.033414 0.084514 0.208612 0.491062 1.082271 2.374939
2025-04-13 0.010275 0.030075 0.079059 0.202182 0.491265 1.113231 2.507955
2025-04-20 0.009452 0.028807 0.078355 0.206734 0.516508 1.199232 2.764349
2025-04-27 0.008628 0.027374 0.077009 0.209518 0.537956 1.279065 3.014998
2025-05-04 0.007800 0.025759 0.074940 0.210191 0.554438 1.349465 3.251517
2025-05-11 0.007162 0.024580 0.073833 0.213157 0.576796 1.435215 3.530255
2025-05-18 0.006789 0.024141 0.074676 0.221375 0.613149 1.556635 3.901360
2025-05-25 0.005931 0.021974 0.070317 0.214893 0.611300 1.587985 4.065872
2025-06-01 0.005391 0.020741 0.068458 0.215084 0.626828 1.662468 4.339355